0/100
Aurora score
Low·0/100
Strong aurora activity and clear skies. Good conditions for observing the Northern Lights.
Aurora chance0%
Kp index0High activity
Cloud cover0%Mostly clear
Best time—Local time☾Darkness—Local time
LOCAL AURORA FORECAST
Northern Lights forecast for Churchill, MB
Live Northern Lights forecast for Churchill, MB, Canada at 58.8°N: current OVATION chance, local Viewing Score, cloud cover, best time and a 3-day outlook.
Kp index0High activityCloud cover0%Mostly clearBest time—Local timeNEXT 24 HOURS
Hourly forecast (tonight)
Viewing scoreCloud cover
18:00
18%
☁28%
-2°
19:00
24%
☁25%
-2°
20:00
34%
☁23%
-3°
21:00
48%
☁21%
-3°
22:00
63%
☁18%
-4°
23:00
74%
☁16%
-4°
00:00
82%
☁14%
-5°
Best
01:00
79%
☁13%
-5°
02:00
70%
☁15%
-5°
03:00
59%
☁17%
-5°
04:00
48%
☁19%
-4°
05:00
38%
☁22%
-4°
06:00
30%
☁25%
-3°
07:00
23%
☁28%
-3°
08:00
17%
☁31%
-2°
09:00
13%
☁35%
-2°
10:00
10%
☁38%
-1°
11:00
8%
☁40%
-1°
12:00
7%
☁43%
0°
13:00
7%
☁45%
0°
14:00
8%
☁42%
-1°
15:00
10%
☁38%
-1°
16:00
13%
☁34%
-2°
17:00
16%
☁30%
-2°
OUTLOOK
3-day forecast
Tonight21 Nov
☁ 18% · −5°
—Fri22 Nov
☁ 42% · −5°
23:30 – 01:00Sat23 Nov
☁ 71% · −3°
00:10 – 01:20LOCAL CONDITIONS
Weather
Cloud cover0%Mostly clear−5°
Temperature−5°CWind —≈
Humidity—Weather data from MET Norway◐
Moon34%IlluminationLOCAL VIEW
Aurora map
Churchill, MB
58.77°, -94.17°
NOAA OVATION
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SPACE WEATHER
Space weather details
Kp index0
Solar wind speed482 km/s
Bz (IMF)−6.1 nT
Bt (IMF)7.3 nT
Proton density6.8 p/cm³
Aurora ovalNorthern Europe
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Detailed space weather dataABOUT THE LOCATION
Aurora in Churchill, MB
Churchill, MB sits at 58.8°N, south of the core auroral zone. Aurora viewing here more often depends on a southward expansion of the oval, making predicted Kp and geomagnetic latitude especially useful for the hourly outlook.
Around Churchill, MB, aurora visibility depends strongly on how far south the auroral oval expands. Clear, dark skies can make a major difference when activity reaches this part of Canada.
All times on this page use the local America/Winnipeg time zone. The forecast combines current auroral activity, predicted Kp, darkness, Moon conditions and local weather to estimate practical viewing conditions near Churchill, MB.
Latitude58.8°N
Time zoneAmerica/Winnipeg
Aurora settingTransition zone
FAQ — Churchill, MB
How is Viewing Score calculated for Churchill, MB?
Viewing Score is a local 0–100 estimate rather than an official NOAA probability. The current score starts from the aurora chance for Churchill, MB; future hours adjust auroral activity using the predicted Kp.
Darkness, cloud cover and Moon illumination then modify the result. Cloud cover only affects the score when the “Include clouds in score” switch is enabled. Daylight can reduce the score to zero, while a bright Moon above the horizon applies a smaller penalty.